Gus
U. Sauter Interview
Vanguard's
Managing Director Discusses Market Trends
Interview by Index Funds Staff
 |
We think the
markets are expensive, which doesn't mean they can't go still
further, but we don't think they have the amount of steam
left in them that they had during the last five years.
|
George
U. Sauter, managing director of the Vanguard Core Management group,
recently sat down with the indexfunds.com staff to discuss a number
of topics - the current performance of Janus Funds, the placement
of record cash inflows into the market, competitive low cost ratios
for exchange-traded funds, the worrisome trend toward short-term
investing, and the market's general outlook.
IF.com: Are
the recent disappointing returns of the Janus Funds a harbinger
of things to come?
GUS: Regarding Janus, I would say there is some competition
out there insofar as earnings growth is more difficult because asset
growth has been somewhat muted. Janus, of course, has been pulling
the lion's share of assets this year. So you would expect that if
anybody would be doing well on a year-over-year basis, it would
be Janus.
IF.com: It
seems when other investors hear Janus is buying a stock, they jump
into it, too.
GUS: That works
for a while. It used to be called the "Peter Lynch effect."
He created such a big fund that by the time he was done buying a
stock he himself had driven the price up. That kind of momentum
can last for a period of time. But there are other periods of time
when that type of investing does very poorly. Janus has been riding
a very strong wave.
IF.com: With
the enormous cash inflows during this time of high evaluations,
is there any difficulty placing this money?
GUS: No. No more difficult than any other period in time.
In fact, mutual funds have relatively low levels of cash right now
- lower than they would on average historically. I think that's
because it has been such a handicap to have had cash over the last
five years that a lot of mutual funds managers have really focused
in on benchmarks. They're trying to remain fully invested to make
sure they're performing in line with those benchmarks.
Cash has been a killer over the last five years. It's the fear that
the market may take off again. You definitely don't want get burned
in that event. Certainly holding cash over the last six months would
not have hurt you, but you didn't know six months ago that the market
was going to be flat.
Printer
Friendly Page E-Mail
to a Friend
|