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Gus
U. Sauter Interview
Vanguard's
Managing Director Discusses Market Trends
Page
2
IF.com: Are
you going to try to match Barclay's lost cost figures for exchange-traded
funds (ETFs)?
GUS: We have not actually priced our exchange-traded shares
at this point. We're still a couple of months away from introducing
them. We haven't finalized the numbers. We did recently announce
an Admiral Class of shares, which will be a second class of shares
for higher-worth individuals and loyal clients that will be in the
500 Portfolio at about the 12 basis-point range. We don't make money
on this because we operate on a net-cost basis. We're unique in
the mutual fund industry in that the people who invest in our funds
actually own us. So what we would make as profit we turn back over
them in the form of lower expense ratios. We merely operate at cost.
Whatever it costs us to operate the funds, including our salaries
and everything else, we only charge that amount to the funds themselves
- so Vanguard essentially breaks even every year.
Vanguard is actually owned by its mutual funds. So the investors
in those mutual funds are making what would be our profit.
IF.com: With
the lower rates and increased competition in the indexing world,
is there a trend toward short-term investing today?
GUS: It's difficult to detect what is going on in the exchanged-traded
shares world because some of the activity is done by broker-dealers,
so it's hard to figure out what the retail investors are doing.
But there's a lot of other evidence that over the years investors
have been moving their money quickly. We look at turnover rates
in the industry, which have gone up about fourfold in the last 25
years. They have gone from 10 percent a year to 40 percent a year.
So the average holding period has gone from about 10 years to about
2 and one-half years. It worries us. We do not think this is an
appropriate way to try to save for goals. We think that longer time-horizon
investing is the best way-certainly to achieve retirement goals.
If you're forty years old, I'd say longer term would be 30 or 40
years horizon. Even if you're 60 years old, I'd say it's 20 years.
It's certainly not 2 and one-half years.
IF.com: Is
it true that there have been times when index funds have not performed
so well?
GUS: If you compare them against the appropriate type of
managers, index funds do quite well during all periods. It is not
appropriate to compare the S&P 500 against all managers because
there are a lot of small cap managers who, when small caps are outperforming,
beat the S&P 500. And when small caps are underperforming, they
underperform it. You have to factor that out. You have to compare
apples to apples, and oranges to oranges. When you do that comparison,
you find that indexing works really quite well over most periods,
certainly over a longer time frame. There can be an individual year
when an anomaly crops up - but go back the last 25, even 50 years,
and you'll find indexes performed quite well.
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