Modern Finance
Founder Merton Miller Dies
By Tracy
Needham, Contributing Writer
When asked for a simple explanation of his theorum,
Miller responded, "If you take money out of your left
pocket and put it in your right pocket, you're no
richer." When reporters were surprised that he received
the Nobel for something so obvious, he quipped, "Yes,
but remember, we proved it rigorously."
Economist Merton Miller, one of the founders of modern
corporate finance and a Nobel Prize recipient, passed
away on June 3 in Chicago. He was 77 years old.
Miller was a strong proponent of passive investing,
believing that the market efficiently reflects all
relevant information about a stock. Miller felt that
since pertinent information is strewn all over the
world, one person can only know a small fraction of
it. He held that only the market can aggregate, evaluate
and incorporate that information into securities prices.
Miller acknowledged that a small group of traders
think they can beat the market using careful research
to find significant non-public information. However,
he also felt that the money they make as a group,
on average, just covers the cost of their extensive
research.
When someone questioned him about the long-term record
of active investment managers such as Peter Lynch
and Warren Buffet, Miller pointed out that it only
takes "one big score" to become a hero, that this
jackpot run will keep the manager's average high for
a number of years. He said the only way to prove that
someone has devised a foolproof method for picking
stocks is for that person to teach it to others, and
see if their pupils can make the same gains. If the
students do not reproduce the returns, then the manager's
success can't be ascribed to anything more than sheer
luck.
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