"Indexing has
dramatically affected the market. The S&P 500 stocks are
selling at a very high historical multiple. One of the reasons
is that money is being funneled into S&P 500 Index funds,"
says Jay Evans, Portfolio Manager of the Galaxy Large Company
Index Fund.
There has been a
long-standing debate on whether indexing affects securities
prices. Conventional wisdom has held that the share of index
fund assets is too small to have any consequential effect on
prices. George U. Sauter, Managing Director of Vanguard Core
Management Group says in his interview that appears in the Spring
1999 edition of "In The Vanguard",
"S&P 500
indexing should have the same impact on all stocks in the index.
But the reality is that the largest stocks within the S&P
500 have performed much better than the small stocks in the
index, and the largest stocks outside of the S&P 500 have
been performing right in line with the same size stocks inside
the S&P 500. That just cannot be explained by indexing."
Although index funds
account for just 7% of mutual fund assets, their share has been
increasing over the past few years. As investors plow money
into index funds, there will be more money chasing the stocks
that comprise the indexes, that will boost the prices of those
stocks, and that will boost the indexes. It's simple demand
and supply. "The amount of money put into indexes does
influence performance," says Peter di Teresa, stock fund
analyst at Morningstar.
"The knock
is that index funds are a perpetual investment machine, mindlessly
buying the stocks that constitute the index, so as cash rolls
in, the index moves higher, without regard for the prices being
paid," says Daniel Kadlec in his Time Magazine article,
"Stop Bad Mouthing the Index Funds".
S&P 500 Index
funds have been the most popular over the years accounting for
almost 80% of all indexed assets. There are small-cap index
funds too but they have not attracted much attention. The main
reason for this has been the superlative performance of large-cap
stocks over the years. Some believe that the flow of cash into
these funds has likely helped to underwrite the performance
of the component stocks.