| Interview
with Paul Kaplan, Morningstar Director of Research
By John Spence
February 28, 2003 |
|
Chicago-based Morningstar, Inc. has ventured into a crowded index
industry with the debut of 16 proprietary equity benchmarks that
correspond to the firm's heralded style boxes. Morningstar's director
of research, Paul Kaplan, sat down with us to discuss what sets
the new indexes apart. He is responsible for the quantitative
methodologies behind Morningstar's fund analysis, stock analysis,
advice, advisor tools, and other services.
Q: Why are overlapping indexes a negative thing?
A: It depends on what you're trying to achieve with the
index. If the purpose of the index is to create a passive alternative
to an active portfolio, then it makes sense to have overlaps and
style indexes that are not completely pure. For example, we know
that large-cap growth fund active managers sometimes buy mid-cap
stocks, or they buy stocks that definitely are not growth stocks.
So the passive alternative idea requires a benchmark that covers
the same range as the active funds in whatever investment universe
you're looking at.
But indexes can also be used to understand what's going on in
the overall equity market, apart from what any particular active
manager may be doing. Since we wanted to create a tool for understanding
what bets active managers are actually taking, we didn't want
overlapping indexes, but rather pure style indexes. So that's
what we've created.
Q: In his article on index methodology, Vanguard index
fund manager Gus Sauter basically says it's the managers themselves
who decide what growth and value are.
A: I think Gus started from the efficient markets perspective.
So a value stock is whatever a value manager buys, and a growth
stock is whatever growth managers are buying. What we're saying
is that there really is a playing field out there. When managers
make decisions to focus on value or growth stocks, it's not because
they're looking at the decisions of other managers. What we're
trying to do is characterize the set of opportunities that are
out there for active managers. It's just a different way of looking
at indexes.
Q: Why is a "core" index or style box beneficial?
A: I think everyone in this business recognizes that not
all stocks are clearly value or clearly growth. Some index providers
take a stock and divide the market capitalization between the
value and growth indexes. Again, that makes sense if you're creating
a passive alternative to an active strategy. But if I want to
understand what's going on in the market, then I need to put that
stock in one sensible place. So when I see a manager buying a
stock that falls into the middle range, then I can say that manager
is making a 'core' bet. These middle stocks need their own distinct
category.
Q: How do the Morningstar style indexes compare to
others in terms of the number of style factors?
A: Right now we have ten style factors, which is a few
more than most existing style indexes. The Dow Jones style indexes
have six factors, for example. On the one extreme, the S&P/Barra
style indexes only use one factor - price to book ratio. This
is the general direction we've seen indexes going, with increasingly
sophisticated models.
Q: Have existing indexes and index funds encouraged
bad investor habits?
A: I wouldn't say the indexes encouraged bad behavior,
but they haven't done anything to dissuade it. In a bull market,
people put more money into equities. When the market goes down,
people pull their money out. Of course, they do the same thing
with respect to both active and passive funds. When people were
throwing a lot of money into active funds in the 1990s, they were
also putting a lot of money into the Vanguard S&P 500 index
fund at the same time. The reverse happened when the market turned.
The indexing industry hasn't done anything to rectify that.