| International
Week - A Chat with FTSE on its New Global Style Benchmarks
By John Spence
October 3, 2002 |
|
We've been dancing to salsa music and downing piroshki to
keep with the spirit of International Week here at IndexFunds.com.
Maybe we're just looking for a diversion from the U.S. stock market,
which suffered the worst quarter
in recent memory.
Indexers have been steadily calling for more international style
funds, and the industry is taking notice. International index
provider FTSE (that's pronounced "footsie") launched
a new family of style indexes in September. We huddled with Jane
Staunton, president of FTSE Americas, and Peter Wall, senior vice
president of business development at FTSE Americas, to discuss
the new benchmarks.
Q: The new style indices use 9 variables to determine
style, 4 for value and 5 for growth. Index providers are using
more sophisticated techniques to determine style. How is determining
style an evolutionary process? Why did the old system become outdated?
A: Determining a company's style has evolved, but not because
of major revisions to the principles of Graham & Dodd. Greater
disclosure by companies - and in a sense, a change in accounting
practice - and greater availability of computing power and databases
have permitted analysts greater scope to look for combinations
of financial ratios that together suggest value and growth opportunities.
To some degree, greater conformity to International Accounting
Standards has helped the process, too, making style analysis and
investing across borders more feasible.
The older style index models used by some indexes use a single
financial ratio - typically price-to-book - and rank all stocks
by that variable, with a cut-off at the midpoint of the list.
This is for example the approach used by MSCI from 1997 until
today, and S&P/Barra from 1993 until today. More recent style
indices, like the FTSE Global Style Index Series, use multiple
financial ratios to determine styles. [Ed note - MSCI
recently announced a new global style index methodology.]
Q: Under the new FTSE methodology, can parts of a company's
market capitalization be in both the growth and value indexes?
Is this preferable to simply pigeonholing a company in the growth
or value index?
A: Yes, FTSE's Global Style methodology will allocate a
stock's capital across value and growth indexes, to the extent
our scoring system shows that the stocks are not "deep value"
or "deep growth." During the research phase of our Global
Style Index development, we consulted with many participants in
style investing to get their views on this point, and the response
was plainly that stocks can be both value and growth. At the same
time, there was a strong preference that there shouldn't be overlaps
of capitalization - that is, all of a company's capitalization
shouldn't be in both value and growth. So FTSE devised a method
to allocate portions of capitalization to value and growth indexes,
with the portions determined by how strong the stock tended to
lean toward one style or the other. A stock not demonstrating
strong tendencies either way would have its capitalization split
50/50.
Q: Was reducing turnover in style indexes a major issue
during your consultations with investment managers? What steps
does FTSE take to cut down turnover in its indexes, since one
of the strongest arguments for indexing is tax efficiency? Were
there specific global regions or sectors where style turnover
was a major problem?
A: Yes. The users of style indexes put turnover high on
their lists of concerns during our consultations. FTSE's Global
Style methodology limits turnover, or movement of capitalization
between style categories, in three ways. First, the multi-factor
approach, with the use of 9 distinct variables, adds stability
to the value/growth outcomes at review dates. Second, FTSE's banding
structure, which determines the allocation of a company's capitalization
between value and growth, also acts as a buffer zone to keep companies
from dramatically shifting between categories. Lastly, bi-annual
reviews of the style variables avoids the "big bang"
effect that is common in indices that just do annual reviews.
Users also recognize that major changes in a company's business
and financial characteristics will impact its style rating, and
this should be recognized in style indexes as well. During our
market consultations, concerns were not focused on specific sector
or regional turnover, but rather on keeping overall index turnover
down. We think our methodology has achieved a reasonable balance
that keeps turnover to a minimum, but adequately reflects market
conditions.
Q: It seems one of the major challenges for index providers
is to balance index completeness (and accuracy) against investability.
Can you explain how this relates to style indexes?
A: This is a challenge, and style adds its own wrinkles.
In terms of style indexes, a user would want to be sure that the
starting point is an index which already has balanced completeness
of coverage and investability - like FTSE's World Index, which
is the basis for our Global Style Index Series. The style "wrinkles"
are achieving the best way to determine style. For example, do
the metrics and methodology produce an accurate representation
of style? We needed to find the right way to allocate capitalization
between value and growth indexes, since it was important to users
that all the FTSE World Index's capitalization be represented
in the Style indexes, with no exclusions and no overlaps. There's
also the search for the best way to manage the indexes and to
maintain accurate style representation, while limiting turnover
as much as possible.
Q: In his article on index methodology, Vanguard index
fund manager Gus Sauter said index providers should let active
managers do the work. I think another way of saying this is that
it's active managers themselves who determine what style is, and
indexes should reflect that process (rather than setting up arbitrary
boundaries). Is that reasoning reflected in the new style index
methodology?
A: To respond in the spirit of Mr. Sauter's article, yes
and no. Yes, in the sense that FTSE spent a lot of time with style
index users, who made us well aware that a value stock can also
be a growth stock, and some stocks are neither value nor growth,
and that two investors can see things differently and for very
good reasons. No, in the sense that active managers have their
own proprietary approaches to determining style and managing portfolios,
and we can produce only one value and one growth benchmark series.
However, index customization is our specialty and we anticipate
a lot of requests to look at style differently.
Q: How often are the style indexes rebalanced? Have
you done any research on the optimal frequency for rebalancing,
for example quarterly vs. semiannually?
A: Most style indexes are rebalanced - that is, reviewed
for stocks' style characteristics - once or twice a year. For
a multi-country style index like the FTSE Global Style Index Series,
twice a year is probably the most frequent basis on which it can
be done, as new financial data aren't commonly available more
than twice a year. As for optimal frequency, once a year - or
longer - tends to produce a "big bang" effect, so we
selected semiannual frequency.