| Seven
Criteria to Consider When Selecting International Equity
Benchmarks
By John Spence
May 29, 2001 |
|
I've heard the analogy that being an indexer is like seeing the
world through rose-colored glasses. Passive investors are content
to sit back with a broadly-diversified, low-cost portfolio - and
maybe an iced tea - and accept market returns.
But before they can reach that state of blissful nirvana, investors
must first make an important decision. "Passive" investing
is in some ways a misnomer, because ultimately an investor must
make the "active" decision of benchmark selection. Two
of the biggest news stories of the year for indexers - the rise
of index-linked ETFs and the yearlong MSCI switch to free-float
index weighting - have highlighted the fact that not all indexes
are created equal. Understanding the methodology employed to create
and maintain a particular index is crucial if an index fund investor
is to select a benchmark that best reflects his or her specific
expectations of risk and return.
Benchmark selection is further complicated by the myriad of choices
available. For example, this site lists the performance of hundreds
of indexes, and we've just scratched the surface so far. Although
it seems like we as investors have too many indexes already, the
fact remains that index providers will continue to carve up the
market in new and interesting ways because there is investor demand.
To help investors better understand international equity benchmarks,
three investment strategists from Barclays Global Investors (BGI)
- Steven Schoenfeld, Peter Handley, and Binu George - released
a report earlier this year that identified seven key criteria
when assessing these indexes. Below is a summary of those seven
factors.
1. Completeness - To be a true reflection of a particular
slice of the market, the index should be an accurate representation
of the returns of the overall slice, and therefore should
reflect what BGI calls "the overall investment opportunity
set." The importance of completeness is demonstrated by MSCI's
decision to broaden its indexes to cover 85% of the market capitalization
from the current 60%.
2. Investability - The index should not have restrictions
on who can purchase the securities in the index. Otherwise, tracking
error will occur purely as a result of the selection of an univestable
benchmark.
3. Clear rules and governance structure - In the incestuous
world of index design, it is important to identify potential conflicts
of interest between the index provider and index constituents.
Also, it is important for the index methodology to be transparent
and publicly available. Markets change, and it's crucial for investors
to be able to predict how those changes will affect a benchmark.
For example, Salomon Smith Barney has pointed out that the ramifications
of the MSCI switch to free-float can only be estimated because
of the opaque nature of MSCI's index construction methodology.
"Just say no to those indexes you can't get your arms around
and truly understand," said John Prestbo, Markets editor
for the Wall Street Journal, at a recent conference on
global sector investing.
4. Accurate and complete data - Performance analysis is
one of the biggest reasons for using indexes as benchmarks, so
it should therefore be widely available. That data should be made
available on index provider websites. (We're also working to make
that information available on our website)
5. Acceptance by investors - Not surprisingly, investors
prefer indexes that are widely used and recognized. This is where
marketing comes in. For example, as I've indicated, Salomon has
been quick to criticize MSCI because Salomon's own international
equity indexes have been float-weighted since 1989. However, that's
been little vindication because MSCI has dominated in market share
of international equity indexes. But who said the world was fair?
6. Availability of crossing opportunities and derivatives/tradable
products - This is more of an issue for institutional investors.
However, the idea is that widely-used indexes are generally more
liquid (EDIT HERE).
7. Turnover and transactions costs - Again, markets are
not static, but fluid. Any index that is a true benchmark must
reflect changes in the market. However, index rebalancing causes
turnover, and turnover leads to transaction costs for index funds.
Therefore, there is a tradeoff between index accuracy and the
desire to avoid excessive transaction costs.
Several Key Criteria are Mutually Exclusive
The authors of the BGI report are quick to explain that no single
benchmark can realistically fulfill all seven criteria because
some are mutually exclusive. They identify some key tradeoffs.
For example, a "complete" index would include all companies
in its asset class. However, small companies trade infrequently
and have low liquidity, and it is therefore not cost effective
to own them. Index fund managers deal with this problem by taking
a sample of the index the fund tracks. The Vanguard Total Stock
Market index fund holds only about 3,400 of the most liquid Wilshire
5000 stocks, while tracking the index very closely.
Another important tradeoff identified by BGI is reconstitution
frequency versus index turnover. Frequent reblancings are a sign
that the index is sensitive to changes in the market. However,
as discussed above, this leads to turnover and transaction costs.
Therefore, index providers seek a healthy balance between accuracy
and transaction costs.
Survival of the Fittest
When a fund manager licenses an index for an index fund, derivative,
or exchange-traded fund, the index provider is normally compensated
by receiving a cut (usually a few basis points) of the net assets
within the product tied to its index. It's not hard to see that
it can be a lucrative business with high profit margins. Competition
between the index providers is stiff, and has only become more
heated as passive investing strategies continue to develop and
grow, particularly on the international scene.
If the law of the jungle applies, then only the indexes that
meet the criteria listed above will attract investor dollars.
That competition will lead to better-designed and more investor-friendly
indexes, which ultimately benefits all investors.