| The
Creative and Ever-Changing World of Mutual Fund Advertising
By John Spence
May 4, 2001 |
|
Let me tell you a little story.
Once upon a time there was a bright thirty-year old technology
fund manager who was featured in Money magazine. His picture
was splashed across the cover, and the headline underneath informed
you that his fund had racked up a dizzying 131% return over the
previous eight months. At the time the issue hit the stands, his
fund had $200 million in its coffers.
Three months later the fund ballooned to $650 million as investors
flooded it with cash, hoping to catch even a little of the eye-popping
performance. Four months after the article ran, the technology
sector of course tanked in a big way, and those investors that
had rushed in watched in horror as their money was vaporized when
the bottom dropped out of technology. Sound familiar?
The year was 1983.
The fund was Fidelity Select Technology, and the promising
young fund manager was named Michael Kassen. If you want to know
the whole story, I recommend checking out Joesph Nocera's sardonic
take on the bull market of the 1980s and Black Monday, "The
Ga-Ga Years." Nowadays, Nocera works as an editor at large
for Fortune magazine.
I have no idea what happened to Michael Kassen, and my point
in telling the story is not to pick on him for something that
happened when I was in Little League. It wasn't his fault that
the sector his concentrated fund was in went south. "Technology
stocks were down 20 percent, and I was only down 10 percent,"
Kassen lamented to Nocera later.
Rather, I want to show you what inevitably happens when mutual
fund companies dangle breathtaking performance numbers out there
like bait, and investors bite without understanding the risks.
The More Things Change . . .
When Kassen graced the pages of Money magazine in 1983,
in many ways it was symbolic of a new era in mutual funds - hot
fund managers became minor celebrities. And fund marketing departments
quickly realized that manager "face time" was free publicity
that could only help attract customer dollars. Today, the struggle
to gain a competitive edge has grown even more fierce - in 2000,
investors had their choice of 9,263 mutual funds, compared to
471 in 1983, according to Morningstar. Magazine features
aren't enough if you want to survive. Welcome to the world of
mutual fund advertising in the 21st century.
Financial Research Corporation (FRC), the Boston group
that monitors the fund industry, released an interesting report
on how much mutual fund companies spent in advertising last year.
Their data source was Competitrack, the New York firm that
keeps tabs on industry ad spending. According to FRC, advertising
expenditures by mutual fund companies totaled approximately $515
billion in 2000, a 22% increase from 1999.
"Fund companies have clearly discovered the effectiveness
that advertising can bring to their marketing programs,"
says Kristin Adamonis, lead analyst for the FRC report. Adamonis
also notes that several smaller niche firms that never advertised
on TV before have found that targeted campaigns can benefit sales.
Aside from shelling out vast sums of advertising money, fund
companies also changed their tactics in 2000. According to FRC,
firms stepped up their "performance" advertising campaigns
and pulled back on "image" ads. What are "image"
ads? You might be familiar with these, especially if you watch
a lot of sports on TV like I do. For instance, there's that one
commercial where a Janus analyst crawls through manholes
to get the inside scoop on a company. The goal is to build trust
and project a feeling of safety and security, in this case by
conveying the idea that Janus researchers are extremely diligent
and insightful.
In 2000, however, FRC says there was a significant shift to "performance"
advertising. This is where fund companies roll out returns data
to get you really salivating, and it usually works. FRC singles
out none other than Fidelity as a main practitioner of this dubious
strategy. In particular, fund shops made extended use of 3-year
annualized returns amassed during the bull market to put the hooks
in you. No more grandfatherly Peter Lynch offering soothing investment
advice and comfort. Of course, a guy who beat the S&P
500 index 11 of 13 years as manager of the Magellan
fund definitely deserves your respect. Then again, it's hard to
argue with this:
| Fidelity
Select Technology Portfolio Returns as of end of March,
2000 |
| 3 months |
1 year |
3 years annualized |
| 25.29% |
144.68% |
79.32% |
Source: Morningstar
It's envy-inspiring numbers like those above that contributed
in no small part to 2000 being a record year for mutual fund sales.
Cash flow into stock funds for all of 2000 was $309.34 billion,
compared with $187.67 billion in 1999, according to the industry
trade group Investment Company Institute. The previous
record for annual cash inflow was $227.1 billion in 1997.
Unfortunately, "buying performance" frequently leads
to disappointment - most investors pile into the latest hot fund
just in time for the inevitable downturn.
So take fund performance numbers with a grain of salt when they're
flashed across your newspaper, television, or computer screen.
But I doubt you'll see much of that nowadays with almost every
market sector hurting. The trend already appears to be reversing
back to that good old "image" advertising so far in
2001. And why not? After all, would you buy this right now?:
| Fidelity
Select Technology Portfolio Returns as of end of March,
2001 |
| 3 months |
1 year |
3 years annualized |
| -34.06% |
-64.47% |
15.11% |
Source: Morningstar